Agent skill
variance-analysis-concept
Sub-skill of variance-analysis: Concept (+4).
Install this agent skill to your Project
npx add-skill https://github.com/vamseeachanta/workspace-hub/tree/main/.claude/skills/_archive/business/finance/variance-analysis/concept
SKILL.md
Concept (+4)
Concept
A waterfall (or bridge) chart shows how you get from one value to another through a series of positive and negative contributors. Used to visualize variance decomposition.
Data Structure
Starting value: [Base/Budget/Prior period amount]
Drivers: [List of contributing factors with signed amounts]
Ending value: [Actual/Current period amount]
Verification: Starting value + Sum of all drivers = Ending value
Text-Based Waterfall Format
When a charting tool is not available, present as a text waterfall:
WATERFALL: Revenue — Q4 Actual vs Q4 Budget
Q4 Budget Revenue $10,000K
|
|--[+] Volume growth (new customers) +$800K
|--[+] Expansion revenue (existing customers) +$400K
|--[-] Price reductions / discounting -$200K
|--[-] Churn / contraction -$350K
|--[+] FX tailwind +$50K
|--[-] Timing (deals slipped to Q1) -$150K
|
Q4 Actual Revenue $10,550K
Net Variance: +$550K (+5.5% favorable)
Bridge Reconciliation Table
Complement the waterfall with a reconciliation table:
| Driver | Amount | % of Variance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volume growth | +$800K | 145% | +$800K |
| Expansion revenue | +$400K | 73% | +$1,200K |
| Price reductions | -$200K | -36% | +$1,000K |
| Churn / contraction | -$350K | -64% | +$650K |
| FX tailwind | +$50K | 9% | +$700K |
| Timing (deal slippage) | -$150K | -27% | +$550K |
| Total variance | +$550K | 100% |
Note: Percentages can exceed 100% for individual drivers when there are offsetting items.
Waterfall Best Practices
- Order drivers from largest positive to largest negative (or in logical business sequence)
- Keep to 5-8 drivers maximum — aggregate smaller items into "Other"
- Verify the waterfall reconciles (start + drivers = end)
- Color-code: green for favorable, red for unfavorable (in visual charts)
- Label each bar with both the amount and a brief description
- Include a "Total Variance" summary bar
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