Agent skill

variance-analysis-concept

Sub-skill of variance-analysis: Concept (+4).

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Install this agent skill to your Project

npx add-skill https://github.com/vamseeachanta/workspace-hub/tree/main/.claude/skills/_archive/business/finance/variance-analysis/concept

SKILL.md

Concept (+4)

Concept

A waterfall (or bridge) chart shows how you get from one value to another through a series of positive and negative contributors. Used to visualize variance decomposition.

Data Structure

Starting value:  [Base/Budget/Prior period amount]
Drivers:         [List of contributing factors with signed amounts]
Ending value:    [Actual/Current period amount]

Verification:    Starting value + Sum of all drivers = Ending value

Text-Based Waterfall Format

When a charting tool is not available, present as a text waterfall:

WATERFALL: Revenue — Q4 Actual vs Q4 Budget

Q4 Budget Revenue                                    $10,000K
  |
  |--[+] Volume growth (new customers)               +$800K
  |--[+] Expansion revenue (existing customers)      +$400K
  |--[-] Price reductions / discounting               -$200K
  |--[-] Churn / contraction                          -$350K
  |--[+] FX tailwind                                  +$50K
  |--[-] Timing (deals slipped to Q1)                 -$150K
  |
Q4 Actual Revenue                                    $10,550K

Net Variance: +$550K (+5.5% favorable)

Bridge Reconciliation Table

Complement the waterfall with a reconciliation table:

Driver Amount % of Variance Cumulative
Volume growth +$800K 145% +$800K
Expansion revenue +$400K 73% +$1,200K
Price reductions -$200K -36% +$1,000K
Churn / contraction -$350K -64% +$650K
FX tailwind +$50K 9% +$700K
Timing (deal slippage) -$150K -27% +$550K
Total variance +$550K 100%

Note: Percentages can exceed 100% for individual drivers when there are offsetting items.

Waterfall Best Practices

  1. Order drivers from largest positive to largest negative (or in logical business sequence)
  2. Keep to 5-8 drivers maximum — aggregate smaller items into "Other"
  3. Verify the waterfall reconciles (start + drivers = end)
  4. Color-code: green for favorable, red for unfavorable (in visual charts)
  5. Label each bar with both the amount and a brief description
  6. Include a "Total Variance" summary bar

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