PolyTracker 📈

Track prediction markets in real-time. Monitor Polymarket, Manifold, and other platforms. Get alerts on price swings, volume spikes, and sentiment shifts.

When to Use

✅ USE when:

• Following election/political markets
• Tracking event probabilities
• Finding market inefficiencies
• Monitoring specific topics
• Getting alerts on price movements
• Analyzing market sentiment
• Making informed bets

When NOT to Use

❌ DON'T use when:

• Building automated trading bots → against platform TOS
• Attempting market manipulation → illegal
• Insider trading → illegal and unethical
• Sybil attacks → banned behavior

Example Interactions

You: Watch Polymarket: "2026 Presidential Election"

Paw: connects to Polymarket API

✅ Tracking: 2026 Presidential Election

Current odds:

• Candidate A: 52% ($0.52)
• Candidate B: 38% ($0.38)
• Candidate C: 10% ($0.10)

Market stats:

• Volume (24h): $847,320
• Liquidity: $2.1M
• Traders: 3,482

I'll alert you when:

• Price moves >5% in 1 hour
• Volume spikes >2x average
• New significant bets (>$10k)

Notifications: Telegram (instant) 📊

Price alert:

Paw: 📈 Market movement: 2026 Presidential Election

Candidate A: 52% → 48% (-4% in 30 min) Candidate B: 38% → 42% (+4%)

Trigger: Large bet detected

• $47,000 on Candidate B
• Single whale wallet
• 5 minutes ago

Volume spike: 3.2x normal

What changed:

• Major news outlet just published poll showing Candidate B gaining ground
• Twitter sentiment shifting (+12% positive mentions)

Your move:

• Check news? (I can summarize)
• Review market history? (chart)
• Place bet? (via Polymarket directly)

What do you want to know? 🎯

You: Summarize news

Paw: scans recent news

Recent developments (last 30 minutes):

1. CNN Poll (published 28 min ago)

   • Candidate B +5 points vs last month
   • Margin of error: ±3%
   • Sample: 1,200 likely voters

2. Twitter/X trending:

   • #CandidateB debate performance going viral
   • 47k tweets (last hour, +340%)
   • Sentiment: 68% positive

3. Prediction market impact:

   • Polymarket: B +4%
   • Manifold: B +3%
   • PredictIt: B +2%
   • Cross-platform alignment ✅

Analysis: This looks like genuine momentum, not just noise. Poll + social + cross-platform movement = real signal.

Market is responding rationally. No obvious inefficiency to exploit right now.

Want me to keep watching for arbitrage opportunities? 🔍

You: Yes, alert me if Polymarket and Manifold diverge >3%

Paw: ✅ Arbitrage alert configured

Watching:

• Polymarket vs Manifold
• Threshold: >3% divergence
• Market: 2026 Presidential Election

I'll ping you if spreads appear. Classic arb is buying low on one platform, selling high on another.

Pro tip: Liquidity matters. A 5% spread with $100 liquidity isn't worth the gas fees. I'll filter for meaningful opportunities. 💰

Daily digest:

Paw: ☀️ PolyTracker Daily Digest

Markets watched: 5

Significant moves (24h):

1. "2026 Presidential Election"

   • Candidate B: 38% → 42% (+4%)
   • Volume: $847k → $1.2M
   • Whale activity: 3 large bets

2. "Fed Rate Cut by June"

   • Yes: 67% → 71% (+4%)
   • Triggered by CPI data release

No movement:

• "AI reaches AGI by 2027" (steady at 8%)
• "Bitcoin > $100k in 2026" (stable at 43%)
• "SpaceX Mars mission 2026" (flat at 12%)

Opportunities:

• No arbitrage found (all platforms aligned)

Top volume:

1. 2026 Presidential — $1.2M
2. Fed Rate Cut — $890k
3. Bitcoin $100k — $654k

Have a good day. 📊🐾

Commands

# Watch market
polytracker watch "Market Name" --platform polymarket

# Set alerts
polytracker alert "Market Name" --price-change 5% --timeframe 1h

# Arbitrage monitoring
polytracker arbitrage --platforms polymarket,manifold --threshold 3%

# Show tracked markets
polytracker list

# Market statistics
polytracker stats "Market Name"

# Sentiment analysis
polytracker sentiment "Market Name"

# Export data
polytracker export "Market Name" --days 30 --format csv

Supported Platforms

• Polymarket (full support)
• Manifold Markets (full support)
• PredictIt (limited support)
• Kalshi (beta)
• Metaculus (beta)

Telegram Integration

Quick check:

You: /poly check "Election"

Paw: 2026 Presidential Election:

Candidate A: 48% Candidate B: 42% Candidate C: 10%

Volume 24h: $1.2M Change: B +4% ⬆️

Set alert:

You: /poly alert "Election" 5%

Paw: ✅ Alert set. I'll ping you if any candidate moves >5% in 1 hour.

Daily summary:

You: /poly digest

Paw: sends formatted summary

Markets: 5 watched Movers: 2 Flat: 3 Volume: $3.1M total

React for details or /poly stats for full breakdown.

Configuration

# Show config
polytracker config show

# Default platform
polytracker config set default-platform polymarket

# Alert thresholds
polytracker config set price-alert 5
polytracker config set volume-alert 2x

# Check frequency
polytracker config set interval 60 # seconds

# Notification channels
polytracker config set notify telegram,email

Arbitrage Detection

# Enable arbitrage monitoring
polytracker arbitrage enable \
  --platforms polymarket,manifold \
  --min-spread 3% \
  --min-liquidity 10000

# Show current opportunities
polytracker arbitrage list

# Historical opportunities
polytracker arbitrage history --days 7

Sentiment Analysis

# Analyze market sentiment
polytracker sentiment "Market Name"

# Track sentiment over time
polytracker sentiment-chart "Market Name" --days 7

# Sentiment alerts
polytracker sentiment-alert "Market Name" --shift 20%

Pricing

• Free tier: 3 markets, basic alerts
• Pro: $10/month — 20 markets, arbitrage detection, sentiment analysis
• Whale: $29/month — unlimited markets, API access, custom alerts

Install: pawhub.ai/polytracker

Notes

• Market data refreshed every 60 seconds (configurable)
• Arbitrage opportunities rare but lucrative when found
• Sentiment analysis uses Twitter, news, and on-chain data
• No automated trading (manual decisions only)
• Respects platform rate limits
• Data exported for your own analysis

Track markets. Catch opportunities. Make better bets. 📈🐾