Agent skill
analysis-qa
Quality-check a data analysis before sharing — verify joins, aggregations, denominators, time ranges, and metric definitions. Detect pitfalls like survivorship bias, average-of-averages, join explosion, timezone mismatches, incomplete periods, and selection bias. Includes documentation templates for reproducible analyses.
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SKILL.md
Analysis QA
Pre-delivery review process for catching errors, validating results, and ensuring analyses are reproducible and trustworthy.
Review Checklist
Work through every section below before presenting findings to stakeholders.
Data Foundation
- Correct sources: Confirmed that the tables and datasets used are the appropriate ones for this question
- Freshness: Data recency is sufficient; the "data as of" date is noted
- Coverage: No unexpected time gaps or missing segments in the dataset
- Null treatment: Null rates in critical columns have been reviewed; nulls are excluded, filled, or explicitly flagged
- Duplicate control: Row counts confirm no double-counting from faulty joins or repeated source records
- Filter accuracy: Every WHERE clause and filter condition has been verified; nothing is accidentally excluded or included
Computation Integrity
- GROUP BY correctness: All non-aggregated columns appear in GROUP BY; the aggregation grain matches the analytical question
- Denominator validity: Rates and percentages use the intended base population; division by zero is prevented
- Temporal alignment: Compared periods span equal durations; partial periods are either excluded or called out
- Join behavior: JOIN types are intentional (INNER vs. LEFT); many-to-many relationships have not silently inflated totals
- Metric fidelity: Calculated metrics align with how the business defines them; any deviations are documented
- Additive consistency: Sub-totals sum to the reported total where expected; non-additive cases (overlap, double-counting) are explained
Plausibility Assessment
- Order of magnitude: Key figures fall within a believable range; revenue is non-negative; percentages stay within 0-100%
- Trend coherence: Time series show no unexplained jumps or drops
- External agreement: Headline numbers align with dashboards, finance reports, or earlier analyses
- Ballpark math: Total revenue roughly equals per-user revenue times user count, etc.
- Boundary behavior: Results make sense for edge cases — a single day, a single user, a single category
Presentation Quality
- Accurate visuals: Bar charts begin at zero; axes have labels; scales are consistent across panels
- Clean formatting: Numbers use appropriate precision, consistent currency/percent notation, and thousands separators
- Descriptive titles: Headings convey the insight, not just the metric name; date ranges are included
- Transparent caveats: Limitations and assumptions are stated up front
- Reproducibility: Another analyst could recreate the work from the provided documentation
Recognizing Common Mistakes
Inflated Counts from Many-to-Many Joins
What goes wrong: Joining two tables with a many-to-many relationship silently multiplies rows, blowing up counts and sums.
Detection method:
-- Compare row counts before and after the join
SELECT COUNT(*) FROM orders; -- 1,000
SELECT COUNT(*) FROM orders o
JOIN line_items li ON o.id = li.order_id; -- 3,500 (unexpected inflation)
Prevention:
- Always compare pre-join and post-join row counts
- Verify the actual cardinality of the join relationship
- Use
COUNT(DISTINCT o.id)to count entities accurately through multi-row joins
Survivorship Bias
What goes wrong: The analysis only covers entities that still exist, ignoring those that were removed, churned, or failed.
Typical scenarios:
- Studying behavior of "active users" while ignoring everyone who left
- Benchmarking against "companies on our platform" while skipping those who evaluated and moved on
- Analyzing traits of "successful" cases without any "unsuccessful" comparison group
Prevention: Before drawing conclusions, ask: "Who is absent from this dataset, and would their presence change the story?"
Partial Period Comparisons
What goes wrong: A month, week, or quarter that is still in progress gets compared to a completed one.
Typical scenarios:
- "January revenue is $500K vs. December's $800K" when January is only half over
- "Signups are down this week" when checked on Tuesday against a full prior week
Prevention: Restrict comparisons to completed periods, or normalize by matching the same number of elapsed days.
Shifting Denominators
What goes wrong: The population used as a denominator changes between periods, making rate comparisons invalid.
Typical scenarios:
- Conversion rate appears to improve because the definition of "eligible visitor" was narrowed
- Churn rate shifts because "active user" was redefined mid-analysis
Prevention: Lock in consistent definitions across every period being compared. Flag any definition changes.
Averaging Pre-Computed Averages
What goes wrong: Taking the mean of group-level averages ignores differences in group size, producing an incorrect overall figure.
Illustration:
- Segment A: 100 customers, $50 average order
- Segment B: 10 customers, $200 average order
- Incorrect overall average: ($50 + $200) / 2 = $125
- Correct weighted average: (100 * $50 + 10 * $200) / 110 = $63.64
Prevention: Always compute averages from individual records. Never take the mean of already-aggregated means.
Timezone Inconsistencies
What goes wrong: Different source systems record timestamps in different zones, causing misaligned daily rollups and join mismatches.
Typical scenarios:
- Backend events logged in UTC while the reporting layer uses US Pacific
- Two tables that define "today" with different cutoff hours
Prevention: Convert all timestamps to a single reference zone (UTC is the safest default) before any analysis. State the timezone in the deliverable.
Circular Segmentation
What goes wrong: Segments are defined using the very outcome being measured, creating tautological findings.
Typical scenarios:
- "Users who finished onboarding retain better" — finishing onboarding is itself a retention signal
- "Power users drive more revenue" — revenue generation is what made them power users
Prevention: Base segment definitions on characteristics measured before the outcome period, not on the outcome itself.
Sanity-Checking Results
Quick Magnitude Tests
| Metric Category | Validation Approach |
|---|---|
| User counts | Cross-reference against known DAU/MAU benchmarks |
| Revenue totals | Compare to known ARR or recent financial reports |
| Conversion rates | Must be 0-100%; compare to dashboard baselines |
| Growth rates | Is 50%+ month-over-month realistic, or does it signal a data problem? |
| Averages | Given the distribution, does this number feel right? |
| Segment shares | Do percentage breakdowns sum to approximately 100%? |
Cross-Validation Approaches
- Dual calculation: Derive the same metric via two independent query paths and confirm they match
- Record-level spot checks: Select a handful of specific entities and manually trace their numbers end to end
- Benchmark comparison: Verify against published dashboards, finance systems, or prior analysis outputs
- Arithmetic reversal: If total revenue is X and there are N users, does X / N approximate the reported per-user figure?
- Micro-slice testing: Filter to a single day, user, or category and confirm the micro-result is sensible
Signals That Demand Investigation
- Any metric swinging more than 50% period-over-period without a clear explanation
- Totals or sums that land on suspiciously round numbers (possible filter or default-value artifact)
- Rates pegged at exactly 0% or 100% (may indicate missing data rather than perfect outcomes)
- Results that confirm the hypothesis too neatly (real data is almost always messy)
- Identical values appearing across different time periods or segments (suggests a dimension is being ignored)
Ensuring Reproducibility
Analysis Write-Up Template
Every substantial analysis should ship with this documentation:
## Analysis: [Title]
### Business Question
[The precise question this work answers]
### Sources
- Table: [schema.table_name] (snapshot date: [date])
- Table: [schema.other_table] (snapshot date: [date])
- External file: [filename] (origin: [description])
### Metric and Segment Definitions
- [Metric A]: [Precise calculation formula]
- [Segment X]: [Exact inclusion/exclusion criteria]
- [Time window]: [Start] through [end], [timezone]
### Analytical Approach
1. [First step and its purpose]
2. [Second step]
3. [Third step]
### Assumptions and Known Limitations
- [Assumption and why it holds]
- [Limitation and its potential effect on conclusions]
### Results
1. [Finding with supporting evidence]
2. [Finding with supporting evidence]
### Queries
[All SQL and code used, annotated with comments]
### Warnings for the Reader
- [Anything the audience should weigh before acting on these results]
Annotating Analytical Code
For SQL or Python that others may reuse:
"""
Title: Monthly Cohort Retention
Author: [Name]
Created: [Date]
Sources: events, users
Last cross-checked: [Date] — matched dashboard within 2%
Objective:
Build monthly retention cohorts anchored on each user's first event date.
Assumptions:
- "Active" = at least one recorded event in the calendar month
- Internal and test accounts excluded (user_type != 'internal')
- All timestamps normalized to UTC
Output:
Retention grid: rows are cohort months, columns are months since first event.
Cell values are retention percentages (0-100).
"""
Maintaining an Audit Trail
- Store all queries and scripts in version control or a shared knowledge base
- Record the exact data snapshot date used for each analysis run
- When refreshing a recurring analysis, document what changed and why
- Link current results to prior versions so trends in the analysis itself are traceable
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